H7N9 update: 119 cases, more evidence it’s not coming from chickens!

27 April 2013 (22:13 UTC-07 Tango 26 April 2013)/16 Jumada t-Tania 1434/07 Ordibehest 1391/18 Bing-Chen (3rd month) 4711

The H7N9 flu has spread to yet another Chinese province.  Fujian Province reporting a man in his 60s became sick with repeated coughing, low fever and a tight chest on 18 April.  The Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention confirmed H7N9 on 26 April.

Three men, ages ranging from 30s to 60s, confirmed infected in Jiangsu Province.  Two are in serious condition.

A 38 years old farmer in Zhejiang Province, is in serious condition with H7n9.

In Jiangxi Province, a 76 years old woman is in critical condition. She’s the province’s second H7n9 case.  Local health officials say many of her ducks and chickens have died, they are being tested for the virus.

A researcher says he’s found a chicken infected with the exact strain of H7N9 that’s infecting humans.  Many scientific and media sources are claiming this proves the new H7N9 is coming from chickens.  I say no way, because of other data the Chinese government has released.

The Chinese Ministry of Agriculture says they have tested 68o60 birds from poultry slaughterhouses, live poultry markets, poultry farms, and wild birds.  Out of the 68060 samples only 46 were positive for H7N9, only 46.   It gets better.  44 of those were from poultry markets, one was from a pigeon farm, the other one was a wild pigeon.  Not one chicken on a farm or in a slaughterhouse tested positive.  This means the poultry are getting infected at the live poultry markets.  I suspect they’re getting infected from humans, this H7N9 could be a bird flu that’s mutated in humans and is only now infecting birds.

Note that about half the human cases had no contact with birds.